Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.593088 7.769724e-01 0.986052 1.238089 1.530433 1.855788 2.242165
2025-02-16 0.286844 4.864378e-01 0.750202 1.108647 1.567986 2.122893 2.829797
2025-02-23 0.144987 3.328412e-01 0.624507 1.068314 1.687559 2.485656 3.556604
2025-03-02 0.065099 2.216148e-01 0.514674 1.014937 1.770247 2.799858 4.241888
2025-03-09 0.034706 1.759497e-01 0.488233 1.071482 2.003716 3.324198 5.226438
2025-03-16 0.013828 1.262922e-01 0.432632 1.064847 2.136669 3.713555 6.047325
2025-03-23 0.006752 1.078431e-01 0.432043 1.149470 2.413793 4.319118 7.186420
2025-03-30 0.002459 8.796839e-02 0.418535 1.205090 2.645390 4.866623 8.262382
2025-04-06 0.000466 6.776724e-02 0.392986 1.230002 2.824301 5.340431 9.246926
2025-04-13 0.000001 4.552865e-02 0.345436 1.197250 2.897308 5.652436 10.005161
2025-04-20 NaN 3.320318e-02 0.321141 1.208515 3.045481 6.083073 10.944861
2025-04-27 NaN 2.434750e-02 0.302166 1.226979 3.205502 6.535613 11.925966
2025-05-04 NaN 1.354964e-02 0.258273 1.175149 3.232551 6.782967 12.620457
2025-05-11 NaN 6.738949e-03 0.220080 1.126388 3.258919 7.028553 13.318787
2025-05-18 NaN 3.726237e-03 0.201242 1.126714 3.381860 7.437582 14.276241
2025-05-25 NaN 1.427420e-03 0.174200 1.092985 3.429970 7.720435 15.044551
2025-06-01 NaN 1.060004e-03 0.178913 1.164498 3.705383 8.399942 16.444057
2025-06-08 NaN 3.692595e-04 0.163882 1.163943 3.824343 8.812034 17.432008
2025-06-15 NaN 3.167655e-04 0.174282 1.257385 4.154723 9.600498 19.026169
2025-06-22 NaN 1.756385e-04 0.175921 1.318464 4.415830 10.273176 20.447211
2025-06-29 NaN 4.635762e-05 0.169162 1.346019 4.602890 10.819615 21.676310
2025-07-06 NaN 8.518857e-09 0.148445 1.311771 4.646327 11.111593 22.503931
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.139712 1.324060 4.797001 11.597875 23.649465